Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.027107 2.324162 2.650955 3.037362 3.482100 3.978322 4.574543
2025-07-27 1.689539 2.098686 2.586871 3.213259 3.997189 4.947910 6.191623
2025-08-03 1.412229 1.878155 2.474004 3.294101 4.397315 5.835408 7.861322
2025-08-10 1.156945 1.632666 2.278889 3.224593 4.580025 6.462916 9.295227
2025-08-17 0.941450 1.399668 2.056085 3.070253 4.607873 6.868234 10.473636
2025-08-24 0.806657 1.257178 1.934390 3.033578 4.787763 7.503480 12.074766
2025-08-31 0.696707 1.133254 1.818774 2.982572 4.928913 8.088415 13.676515
2025-09-07 0.642349 1.087607 1.816111 3.106373 5.361825 9.191279 16.290475
2025-09-14 0.581359 1.021283 1.768751 3.145310 5.652053 10.088981 18.681890
2025-09-21 0.518083 0.941626 1.686822 3.109779 5.801351 10.753607 20.744197
2025-09-28 0.453877 0.851325 1.573595 2.999936 5.795023 11.126958 22.302194
2025-10-05 0.433317 0.838638 1.599330 3.152838 6.306751 12.545097 26.131672
2025-10-12 0.411240 0.822102 1.619318 3.305078 6.855597 14.148232 30.680129
2025-10-19 0.387312 0.798839 1.623460 3.426936 7.363257 15.750141 35.519819
2025-10-26 0.358256 0.761169 1.593624 3.473671 7.719253 17.087965 40.015284
2025-11-02 0.319953 0.698829 1.504269 3.378698 7.748599 17.713899 42.975173
2025-11-09 0.280189 0.628010 1.387453 3.205320 7.572236 17.843947 44.762265
2025-11-16 0.255107 0.586691 1.330206 3.160667 7.691475 18.684264 48.469641
2025-11-23 0.232044 0.546989 1.271475 3.103984 7.772674 19.444202 52.106450
2025-11-30 0.223254 0.539757 1.287168 3.230957 8.332510 21.486048 59.544932
2025-12-07 0.209798 0.519464 1.269042 3.270353 8.672691 23.015450 65.852471
2025-12-14 0.193321 0.489562 1.223593 3.232727 8.802684 24.007061 70.808330
2025-12-21 0.174537 0.451444 1.152815 3.118061 8.705126 24.361958 73.952745